{"id":50,"date":"2021-05-12T17:46:10","date_gmt":"2021-05-12T17:46:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/contingency-institute.com\/?page_id=50"},"modified":"2024-08-19T12:12:42","modified_gmt":"2024-08-19T12:12:42","slug":"ressources","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/contingency-institute.com\/index.php\/ressources\/","title":{"rendered":"Resources"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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2024:<\/strong><\/h3>

From worshipping Tyche to playing with wild cards<\/strong><\/h3>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t
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In his Physics, Aristotle acknowledges the role of Tyche, the Greek equivalent of contingency. His home, the Greek peninsula, was, and is today, regularly struck by natural hazards. Ancient records document that they wrought substantial damage to the infrastructure and political integrity of communities. Lacking reliable forecasting systems, for the ancient Greeks any of these hazards was contingent, even though there existed accepted interpretations of what (or who) caused these phenomena. Roughly 2.500 years later, future studies call sudden, unpredictable events like these \u2018wild cards\u2019. Occurring with a low probability but a substantial impact, wild cards pose challenges to social, political, and economic stability. Just as natural hazards unexpectedly interrupted and transformed social, political, and economical life in ancient communities, wild cards have the potential to disrupt current and future societies and economies. With the modern world increasingly complex and interconnected, wild cards will increase in frequency, likelihood, and impact. More than ever, local calamities will show global effects. To mitigate these effects and enable a fast recovery, creative approaches are needed. A gaze into how the societies of the distant past successfully coped with the wild cards that hit them, may thus yield inspiration for disaster risk reduction in the Anthropocene.<\/p>

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Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management<\/a><\/p>

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2022:<\/strong><\/h3>

Old answers to new questions: using past disaster narratives to make today’s organisations more resilient to the challenges of the Anthropocene<\/strong><\/h3>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t
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The Anthropocene will see a significant increase in the likelihood, frequency, and intensity of natural hazards. This altered context poses new challenges for global societies and economies. In addition to sustainability efforts, building resilience and reducing disaster risk thus become increasingly important strategic topics. This paper proposes that inspiration for how to respond to these challenges, and even use them for transformation and sustainable innovation, may lie in the distant past. By applying insights from sociological disaster studies and discourse analysis to earthquake narratives from ancient Greece, it will be shown how extreme natural events may, or may not, trigger disaster. Subsequently, implications for organisational resilience and disaster risk reduction in the Anthropocene will be derived.<\/p>

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International Journal of Innovation and Sustainable Development<\/a><\/p>

DOI<\/b>: 10.1504\/IJISD.2022.123907<\/a><\/p>

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2022:<\/strong><\/h3>

Welcome to the vucca world! Why the Future is not just vuca but vucca<\/strong><\/h3>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t
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Faced with the challenges of climatic change, the ever-accelerating, hyperconnected, digitalised, and highly fragile vuca world acquires another dimension: it becomes vucca<\/em>: volatile, uncertain, complex, catastrophic<\/em>, and ambiguous. Tackling this situation requires a novel understanding of what catastrophes are, how they emerge, and what potential lies in them. Once this understanding is established, Futures Studies and Foresight can facilitate the creation of innovative ways to lead, plan, educate and design.<\/p>

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Human Futures Magazine, pp. 22-29<\/p>